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Losing 15 pounds typically takes 16-20 weeks for women using a moderate deficit (20-25%). Your timeline varies based on starting body fat percentage and deficit level. A more aggressive deficit shortens the timeline but increases muscle loss risk. A conservative approach takes longer but preserves lean mass better.
Last updated: February 8, 2026
Your timeline depends on how aggressive your calorie deficit is. Here are all 6 deficit levels with their timelines:
| Deficit Level | Difficulty | Weeks | Daily Calories | Weekly Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% Extreme | Extreme | 9 weeks | 1,273 cal | 1.7 lbs/week |
| 35% Intense | Very Hard | 10 weeks | 1,379 cal | 1.49 lbs/week |
| 30% Fast | Hard | 12 weeks | 1,485 cal | 1.27 lbs/week |
| 25% Effective | Moderate | 14 weeks | 1,591 cal | 1.06 lbs/week |
| 20% Moderate | Easy | 18 weeks | 1,698 cal | 0.85 lbs/week |
| 15% Gentle | Easy | 23 weeks | 1,804 cal | 0.64 lbs/week |
Your starting body fat percentage affects your metabolic rate and how fast you lose weight. Here are timelines for different starting points using the recommended deficit:
| Starting Body Fat | Recommended Deficit | Weeks | Daily Calories |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 20% Moderate | 16 weeks | 1,880 cal |
| 27% | 20% Moderate | 17 weeks | 1,790 cal |
| 32% | 20% Moderate | 18 weeks | 1,698 cal |
| 37% | 20% Moderate | 19 weeks | 1,607 cal |
Based on a 5'5", 150 lb woman at moderate activity. Your exact timeline depends on your weight, height, and activity level.
Your timeline to lose 15 pounds depends on three factors: (1) Starting body fat percentage. Higher body fat allows for more aggressive deficits without muscle loss. (2) Deficit size. A 30% deficit is twice as fast as a 15% deficit, but harder to sustain and riskier for muscle preservation. (3) Lean mass. More lean mass means a higher metabolic rate and faster fat loss at the same calorie intake.
Deficit Level
20% Moderate
Timeline
18 weeks
Daily Calories
1,698 cal
This is the best balance of speed and sustainability for losing 15 pounds. It preserves muscle well while keeping the deficit manageable.
| Week | Weight | Body Fat % | Fat Mass | Lean Mass |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 150 lbs | 32% | 48 lbs | 102 lbs |
| Week 2 | 148.3 lbs | 31.4% | 46.6 lbs | 101.7 lbs |
| Week 4 | 146.6 lbs | 30.8% | 45.1 lbs | 101.5 lbs |
| Week 6 | 144.9 lbs | 30.1% | 43.7 lbs | 101.2 lbs |
| Week 8 | 143.2 lbs | 29.5% | 42.2 lbs | 101 lbs |
| Week 10 | 141.5 lbs | 28.8% | 40.8 lbs | 100.7 lbs |
| Week 12 | 139.9 lbs | 28.2% | 39.4 lbs | 100.5 lbs |
| Week 14 | 138.2 lbs | 27.5% | 38 lbs | 100.2 lbs |
| Week 16 | 136.5 lbs | 26.8% | 36.5 lbs | 100 lbs |
| Week 18 | 134.8 lbs | 26% | 35.1 lbs | 99.7 lbs |
Based on a 5'5", 150 lb woman at moderate activity (2,122 cal TDEE) using a 20% deficit:
1,698
Daily Calories
102g
Protein
217g
Carbs
47g
Fat
Men typically lose 15 pounds 15-20% faster than women due to higher lean mass and metabolic rate. A 180 lb man at 25% body fat has a TDEE around 2,700 calories. A 150 lb woman at 32% body fat has a TDEE around 2,050 calories. The same deficit percentage results in different absolute calorie targets and weekly loss rates. Men also retain muscle better during a deficit due to higher testosterone levels.
Expect a plateau around weeks 6-8. Your metabolism adapts to the lower calorie intake and weight loss slows. This is normal. A 1-week diet break at maintenance calories resets hunger hormones and restores metabolic rate. Do not increase your deficit. Patience and consistency beat aggression.
After losing the weight, reverse diet by adding 100-150 calories per week until you reach maintenance. This gradual approach prevents rapid fat regain and lets your metabolism stabilize. Expect 2-3 lbs of water weight in the first week (glycogen and water, not fat). Give your body 4-6 weeks at maintenance before starting another phase.
Minimal muscle loss if you maintain protein intake (1g per lb lean mass) and keep training intensity high. A moderate deficit like this preserves muscle well.
Using a 20% deficit, a 5'5", 150 lb woman should eat approximately 1698 calories per day. Your exact number depends on your weight, height, activity level, and body composition. Use FitCommit to calculate your personalized TDEE and calorie target based on your lean mass (measured via AI body scan).
We recommend a 20% Moderate deficit for losing 15 pounds. A moderate deficit gives the best balance of speed and muscle preservation for this range.
At a 20% deficit, expect to lose approximately 0.85 lbs per week. Actual results vary based on starting weight, activity level, and adherence. Expect faster loss in the first 1-2 weeks (water weight) followed by a steadier rate.
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